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FOX Business
Oct 1, 2012 1:00pm EDT
questions after his speech. let's listen in. >> japan, of course, is the first modern economy to be trapped at the zero bound. interest rates close to zero. their experience foreshadowed the global financial crisis of 2008. the japanese had a stock market booming bust and a property boom and bust together which was roughly double the size, proportionally speaking, to the united states. it was a major shock to the economy. they have responded to it to a variety of tools. i think a couple things that we learned from watching their experience and troubles and difficulties they have been through and to that i would point to that we have tried to learn from them, the first is, aggressiveness, early aggressiveness of monetary policy. what we learned from japan is we learned from the 1930s. once you have a deflation, prices dropping, prices and wages are dropping, they can be very very hard to get out of that. there is a lot of downward pressure on the economy. we were very aggressive early on in the united states to avoid deflation and we have maintained inflation close to our 2% target which is
PBS
Sep 28, 2012 1:00am PDT
on it to ease its mounting losses. the u.s. economy shows more signs of slowing, and slowing down faster than expected. but silver has been red hot. where is the demand coming from and can it last? we talk with phil baker, the c.e.o. of hecla mining. that and more tonight on nbr! we begin with discouraging news about the sluggish economy. by the broadest measurement, economic growth slowed sharply in the second quarter. the gross domestic product was revised considerably lower today. growth was 1.3% in the april through june period. just a month ago, the estimate was 1.7%. add that to a big drop in purchases of big ticket items, like washing machines and furniture. in august, durable goods orders fell 13.2%, and you've got an economy that's just muddling along. but one ray of encouragement-- fewer people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time last week. claims fell by 26,000 to their july lows of 359,000 claims. on wall street, the dow jumped 72 points, the nasdaq added almost 43 points, the s&p up 13. while the u.s. continues working through problems left over by the great recess
FOX Business
Sep 26, 2012 6:00pm EDT
president obama. but mitt isn't having it, trying to get ohio voters to the right by focusing on the economy. >> with incomes going down, every year, every year going down, down, down. prices of electricity up and health insurance up and the cost of gasoline, having doubled, these are tough times. even for families with jobs. i know what it takes to get this economy going again. cheryl: so what would a tax plan under a romney/ryan administration look like? rich edson breaks it down for us. rich? >> reporter: well, cheryl, democrats call it a giveaway to the rich at the expense of the middle class. republicans say they're wrong, and this morning governor romney defended his tax plan. >> by the way, don't be expecting a huge cut in taxes because i'm also going to lower deductions and exemptions. by bringing rates down, we'll be able to let small businesses keep more of their money to hire more people. >> in the end the details are really up to congress. romney's proposed cutting every tax rate by 20%. to insure the treasury department takes in about the same amount of money under a new system,
CBS
Oct 2, 2012 5:30pm PDT
on the economy. overall, auto sales were up 13% last month from a yearefore. among the u.s. automakers, ford sales were unchanged, g.m.'s were up 1.5%, chrysler reported a 12% increase. there hasn't been enough good news like that on the economy. the recovery, of course, is painfully slow and one of the biggest reasons is the recession in europe. the 27 countries of the european union add up to the world's- largest economy, but they're reportrecordnemployment. in spain, unemployment among young people is 50%. mark phillips went to barcelona to see what happens when an economy goes into freefall. >> reporter: spain can be a deceptive place. in the early autumn sunshine and in the markets groaning with foodstuffs it's difficult to tell this is a country with a collapsing economy and unemployment rate of 25% that threatens to take the rest of europe and maybe even the united states economy down with it. but wait until they close up at barcelona's boqueria market and follow the porters out back to where they dump the trash and you get a different impression. in spain these days, one person's gar
CNN
Sep 27, 2012 9:00am PDT
. if you don't believe me, look at the numbers that just came out in the growth of our economy. 1.3% verses russia at 4%. china at 7% to 8%. we're at 1.3%. this is unacceptable. it is not working. i know what it takes to get us working. he's put us on a road to europe. europe doesn't work in europe. i want to get us back to being america where people come here, build enterprises here. we fulfill american dreams. we keep the hope alive in america. [ cheers and applause ] and this matters. you know this matters. this counts. it counts for the 23 million people struggling to get a job, getting a better job today. it counts for the young peoe. today we wonder whether that's true. the majority of americans don't think that's the case. this matters. there's one more sense in which it matters. that's what i began with, and that is our military capability. our ability to defend our liberty and the liberty of our friends around the world, with whom we trade and with whom we trade and whose prosperity depends on our trade. i was in poland and got the chance to meet a hero. i came in and he said, mr.
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 4:00pm EDT
's a point you made earlier in an earlier segment that the bottom line is the economy is still very, very weak. i'll tell you, we've been on overweight equities for the last six or nine months. we're now starting to pull back some of the risk. yes, the market could rally higher. i don't see the stimulus up as much as i did when everybody didn't believe qe-3 was coming. i think there's more negative potential headlines. we're taking risk off the table right now and hopefully we'll re-enter at a lower position. >> it's interesting. rickntelli, the fiscal cliff keeps coming up. that's one of the biggest issues in terms of keeping businesses from making any real decisions here, putting money to work, and it's also the highlight going into the election. >> it is. i guess the real irony is even if the fiscal cliff didn't exist, the outlook economically, both domestically and globally, is deteriorating. really, it's a bit of a double whammy. i'll go back to what i said the last time we discussed this an hour ago. if you look at the 21 weeks from mid-october to march of 2000 when the nasdaq crash
FOX Business
Sep 27, 2012 11:00am EDT
: nicole thank you. dagen: take a look at this. the u.s. economy growing at a very weak 1.3% in the second quarter, revised down from 1.7%. that is, well, lousy. connell: deputy editor at the "wall street journal"'s editorial page is here to tell us it's always the economy, stupid, at least that was your column? >> that's right. and any presidential election one way or another it is going to be about the economy, no matter how hard the candidates try to deny that. the most amazing one perhaps of all time is indeed the incumbent obama who is running as though the economy during his term didn't happen or at least if it happened, it was the fault of somebody who was president four years before him and what he wants to talk about is the economy he's going to create starting in january 13 which will consist of people having green jobs, making windmills and solar panels. i think the american voters are probably getting a little bit frustrated that no one will talk about the economy as it exists right now, dropping to 1.3% in the second quarter. the united states economy is barely, barely moving.
CSPAN
Sep 30, 2012 2:00pm EDT
to do something like this? >> i think it would be a reference back. because the economy takes all the oxygen out of the election with a little bit of foreign affairs, the supreme court does not play against undecided voters. it is a motivator to get out and get to the polls. you want this person to replace justice ginsberg when she retires for example. you want to know if there's any practical experience, and the obama at the lustration has declined to defend the defense of marriage act. present romney might decide he would defend the constitutionality of that statute. it does seem like that has a lot of salience and presidential debates. i.t. think it will not happen. here is why. no major national political figure has attacked as publicly since 1996 or before. it is remarkable. the republicans were seeing some political profit in attacking affirmative action given the polls. they do not do it anymore. john kerry said maybe it is time to stop these racial preferences. the democratic leadership council was inching down that road. that is all gone. this is why we get so demonized i
WHUT
Sep 26, 2012 7:30am EDT
in advertising revenue. this is due to the internet and sluggish u.s. economy. the firm has been taking various streamlining measures that include cutting 2,000,000 jo jo. 10% of the work force. despite actions, the company posted a loss in first time in four quarters. "the new york times" decided to appoint bbc general director as its new top executive. he is nonto have improved the web services of the bbc is is expected to bolster the newspaper company's online businesses. >>> british bankers association says it is willing to give up control over the libor bank rate. as it looks to prevent further rate rigging scandals. the association says libor is based on interest rates charged between banks in the london market. in june, major british bank, barclays was fined for manipulating libor through false reporting. a staement released tuesday indicating they would transfer libor related to a public body. by making the announcement, the association is seen as trying to ease criticism about the way the rate has been handled over a quarter century. and the british government plans to publish a final
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 4:00pm EDT
and the sovereign bond market and watch the politicians fail to do what's necessary to get these economies to grow. you have to stabilize the patient before you try and fission their long-term problems. the politicians don't do this. that means europe stays in a recession. for u.s. investors, i think it is still something of a side show. >> something of a side show. until they either come up with the austerity or -- something's got to give, right? >> because it doesn't disrupt the u.s. economy. the u.s. economy is still growing. our exports to europe are only a very small part of our gdp. the housing market recovery is much more important to the improvement of wealth. we're seeing some improvement of confidence. we're seeing rising home prices. all these are more important to the united states than what's going on in europe. >> mark, how do you see it? you invested in europe these days or no? >> a little bit, maria. you know, i guess the thing i would say about europe and soon to watch on our shores is you're going to pay more and get less. i look forward to the dislocation between price and value
FOX Business
Oct 3, 2012 11:00am EDT
such difficulty, you know, in the economy because of federal reserve policy. likelihood of hearing this, very very slim. and maybe seeing how would you balance a budget? in our campaign we had a precise plan of cutting a trillion dollars and balancing the budget in three years. you know, we're in this horrendous crisis and neither one of them are going to say anything, oh, maybe we ought to cut something. there's no proposal to cut anything. it's also tinkering around with massive automatic increases and the american people are starting to wake up and realize it is all fiction and they are not serious. connell: congressman paul, thanks as always. >> thanks. connell: fox business network, beginning at 8:00 p.m. eastern live from denver, neil cavuto will be on the next hour to talk about the debate. neil cavuto. dagen: the economy will be a big focus of tonight's debate. adp the payroll processing firm came out earlier this morning and reported that 162,000 private sector jobs were added last month. more than expected. to weigh in on that, and the debate, the head of u.s. interest rate strategy at u
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 3:00pm EDT
's not forget we also had a dismal report on durable goods orders, once again showing weakness in this economy. investors not worried about these numbers today. >> we got decent news out of europe and china this morning. either way, we're asking if investors should think twice before buying into this kind of a rally based on what the u.s. economy is telling us right now. let's talk about it in today's "closing bell" exchange. we have larry blazer from mayflower advisers and our own rick santelli and mandy drury. larry glazer, you happen to believe that economically there's an iceberg dead ahead. this market doesn't act like it today. >> no, it doesn't. you can see today investors are so focused on the global stimlouse story that they're missing the big picture. the big picture is the fact that the economic data, particularly global manufacturing data, is absolutely rolling over. look at chinese manufacturing, down 11 months in a row. you hit the nail on the head. gdp, durable goods, all a sign of weakness. the problem is the catalysts are behind us and the icebergs are ahead. you've got the fi
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
the rest of the economy has started to feel the effect from the sluggish manufacturing sector. if you look at the breakdown of the services pmi, the construction services sub index -- meanwhile, new orders were dragged lower by demand weakness for transportation. over in australia, a survey showed an even grimmer picture as its services index dipped to 41.9 in september. india reports its all important services pmi tomorrow, while hsbc is out next monday. that's all from me. >> thank you very much. >>> coming up on today's show, we head to paris to find out more, the attempts to offload his unit. then to hong kong where we examine the political transition in china plagued by scandals and disappearances. we get an expert view on the new leadership change. >>> and next, washington and its debate tonight as romney and obama finally square off. we'll have a preview of what to expect and what's at stake with our very own democrat-republican panel. >>> and real estate is on the rise. we head to new york with founder barbara corcoran. mariano rajoy has denied reports that spain will request a bai
PBS
Sep 26, 2012 11:00pm PDT
for life, and until last july he was italy's minister of economy and finance. but he is not exactly a politician. as a respect economist considered be abo party politics he was chosen to form a new technocratic government. it put him at the center of the european debt crisis confronting rising interest rates that led to greece, ireland, and portugal to seek bailouts. his ability to turn calamity into opportunity has revived his nickname "super mario." i have pleased to have him here at this table for the first time. welcome. >> delighted to be here. >> rose: i see that you have said that you're not going to run for pri minister? >> no, i can confirm that i will not be a candidate. i believe i couldn't even be a candidate because, as you mentioned, i am senator for life. so candidates are candidates inn order to become members of parliament. >> rose: and you're senator for life. >> yes. >> rose: do you want to stay as prime minister? >> of course i will not. i will-- the whole government will have to resign when the elections take place, probably next-- after that, it will be for th
CBS
Oct 1, 2012 6:30pm EDT
are concerned that a tax increase of that size could shock the economy and trigger a recession by reducing the cash that taxpayers have to spend. but scott, congress and the president now have a firm price tag on what it costs if they don't reach a budget deal after the election. >> pelley: wyatt, thank you, the u.s. economy is also being hurt by what's happening far beyond washington, all the way across the atlantic. senior business correspondent anthony mason has more on that. >> reporter: in spain this weekend, police clashed with protesters angry over austerity measures the government's been forced to implement. a quarter of the work force in spain can't find jobs and the unemployment rate in the 17-nation euro zone has now hit a record high-- 11.4%. for three straight quarters, the european economy has been shrinking and federal reserve chairman ben bernanke said today america is feeling the impact. >> it has been a problem for the u.s. economy. we have seen head winds coming from slowing trade. >> reporter: if you combine imports and exports, the european union is our biggest trading
CSPAN
Sep 28, 2012 7:00am EDT
of the three states, north carolina and nevada, both think that mitt romney is stronger on the economy. so that's one set of polls. now, we've got this other set of polls we want to show you very quickly, and this is from rasmussen, and he does -- scott rasmussen's group, rasmussenreports.com, they do a daily tracking poll. for a long time now, they've been showing this race as even. right now, they're saying -- and this gets updated daily, about 9:30 in the morning -- and they president obama and mitt romney both at 46% nationwide. and when leaners are included, it's tied at 48% apiece. and the swing state daily tracking poll, they also have this, and they have that tied as well, obama 46%, romney 46%. again, this is from rasmussenreports.com. scott is a republican in colorado springs. hi, scott. caller: how you doing? host: good. what do you think about the campaign media coverage so far? caller: it's a joke. i flip through the channels, and they are totally biased. the thing that really gets me is you have romney going on, the different outlets, but yet obama, he's going on "the view" and da
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 3:00pm EDT
geo politics has upped the price, but now the slowing economy is questioning how long traders can hold on to those premiums. you can't outrun economic fundamentals no matter how much you print. >> what do you think about that, bill? even though corporate america looks strong, looks like the earnings estimates need to come down. >> i think the summer of dal droms are about over. going forward, the thing that might be the big spark that changes the psychology and the ball game is the election. i don't believe all the polls. we'll see what happens. if we're right that there's a seat change and some fellas join the unemployment line deservedly, then you might see money be put to work. this fiscal cliff and all the other nasties we hear about are not going to be permanent dampeners on the economy. i think you have to look forward and anticipate what's next. >> is it the same scenario -- >> that one i disagree on. >> okay. bill, are you looking at different scenarios if the president wins re-election versus a romney win? how are you playing that? >> well, number one, i don't think anybody's
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 6:00am EDT
output at a plant as the economy slows and demand weakens. meantime 40% of china's iron ore mines are standing idle as steel prices have crumbled. and loans to firms and households fell more than expected. ecb staying loans to the private sector fell 0.6% from the same month a year ago. italy's borrowing costs falling at a bond auction today. analysts say the auction shows nand for italian government paper remains healthy. and eu regulators are prepare to go charge microsoft for failing to comply with a 2009 ruling. that ruling had on ordered the company to offer user as choice of web browsers. apparently they may not have done that. if guilty, microsoft could face fines of up to 10% of its global revenues. and that would be a lot of money. >> iran still, we're this close to nuclear -- think our unfunded labels are like 60 trillion or something. europe back in the crapper, but the refs. huh? >> i told you, i don't always like unions. i'm actually happy that the refs union won. >> it does provide a release from some of the travails and the worries of every day life. spoorts is spor
MSNBC
Sep 26, 2012 9:00am EDT
's all about the economy. yesterday he made an interesting pitch to the crowd saying, i need you to go out and tuque to obama. vote for me this time. so they're really trying to target tho voters. as i heard you say earlier,n thpresland in crowd, the romney spinners are pushing back on the polls. they insist they're within the margin of error but they offer no proof of that. he's hoping for big crowdser more enthusiasm and hoping to open the gap here because as you owiny nohio. >> ron allen following the campaign for us. ron, thank you. let's look at the map itself when it comes to ohio. there are less than a thousand hours until election day. is that sinking in? bodisti the campaign trail. if ohio is really leaning toward the president, what does that mean for mitt romney and his potential path to victory? let's go to the latest nbc news battleground map and show you where thisd. last week we moved from toss-up to lean ohio. the president's lead, it went from 24 2770. what does this mean if you give him ohio? well, watch. so you give the president of ohio, he gets up to 261. he use no
MSNBC
Sep 26, 2012 6:00am PDT
taxes will help grow the economy? >> no. >> ryan's expression back there when he looks over at portman, kind of intriguing. it would be curious what a thought bubble would be going on over there. but it's a little bit of a change for romney. he had often been accusing the president of raising taxes or citing increases, i thinking about the health care law, et cetera. a romney adviser put out a memo yesterday explaining how capital gains are taxed. as they say, if you're explaining how capital gains are taxed, not just calling for different ways of lowering them, if you're simile having to explain it, you're losing. romney has also tried to make china a boogeyman and he did it again in ohio yesterday. >> that when people cheat, that kills jobs. china has cheated. i will not allow that to continue. [ cheers and applause ] >> this is one issue where romney has tried to go on the offense with china since he got on the campaign and frafrmgly the obama campaign has been on the defensive about it which is why when obama is in ohio today he's going to make the amount about ohio. he filed trade
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 4:00am EDT
while consumer prices slipped further in august raising fears the world's third biggest economy could yet fall into recession by year end. >>> what a big day. >> super friday. >> we have the french budget proposal, the results of the spain audit/stress test, we've got, what else -- it's the end of the quarter. britain is announcing it libor reforms. >> that's not what i was talking about. it's the ryder cup, folks. forget all that stuff. >> by the way, i had to google the ryder cup. >> far more important event. >> we'll talk about that later in the program. >> i don't know who insisted on that, but apparently we are going to cover it. >> before we get to that, the government of hollande is about to present it first budget. its expected to whicheverdelives of tax hikes. meantime european policymakers are appraising spain's reform plan. but today the government must brace for the results of the banking stress tests that will determine the recapitalization needs of the country's most troubled lenders. we have steve sedgwick following the story in thmadrid, but firs out to stefane i
FOX Business
Sep 28, 2012 12:00am EDT
economy through the gulf. melissa: what do you think is the appropriate response? because we were talking on the show yesterday about how sanctions it seems like are not necessarily working because we highlight ad company that is going ahead and buying iranian oil and is reportedly then selling it to china? because seems like the sanctions are not necessarily that effective. >> for a simple reason, melissa that not all of those who should be putting sanctions are putting sanctions. iran is trading with everybody else than the coalition that is putting sanctions. sanctions alone won't work. they are necessary but, the only thing we need to do. number two, you have the military capacity strike. that is only when we are sure that the iranians crossed that red line. third and most important i guess is work with the iranian opposition, with iranian students and women and minorities those who took to the streets in tehran remember in june 2009? they were very close shaking up the foundation for the regime. unfortunately washington did not seize the moment there. melissa: walid, thank you very m
FOX Business
Oct 2, 2012 7:00pm EDT
for lou dobbs. an election that was supposed to be all about the struggling economy, right? now leading to questions over the president's handling of foreign policy and the administrations truthfulness to the american people. to reporreport the united states diplomats in libya asked the obama administration repeatedly for additional security right up until the september 11, 2012 attacks. house oversight committee chairman darrell ice looking to secretary of state hillary clinton for answers. telling congressmen issa the extra resources are being denied despite firebombings and online death threats. vice presidential nominee paul ryan seizing onnthe commission to launch attacks at the democratic ticket. >> feature if you turn on the ty you can see that the obama foreign-policy is unraveling before our eyes. it's not just an isolated incident where we lost four americans in libya. that's tragic. but it is part of a bigger story of the unraveling of this agenda all over the world. we have distanced our ally, israel, we are not advancing our interests in the middle east, and the president i
FOX News
Sep 28, 2012 9:00am EDT
's economy is dead flat, teetering on recession. 10-year high for unemployment and france puts in place huge tax increases. bill: i'm reading the two measures bringing around half a billion euros. >> that's it. >> what will that do for them? >> not much. there are other taxes as well which will bring in a total they think of 20 billion euros. bill: higher tax rates on dividends? >> dividends, capital gains, dividends, profits, reinvestment of capital, interest you name it. bill: here is a query for you. are they cutting spending at all? >> by about $10 billion euros. $20 billion worth of tax increases. $10 billion worth of spending cuts gives you a 30 billion euro reduction they think in the budget deficit. bill: well on the spending cuts, how much resistance was there? >> there is going to be a lot of resistance. in france there is really a cradle to grave security system and the state is at the very center of the economy. when the state starts cutting into to spending, cutting down on spending, there will be some resistance and it will be seen on the streets. bill: do you expect the wealth
FOX
Sep 28, 2012 4:00am PDT
us about global economies. paul eggers reports next. we are this close... ...to making history. we are this close... this close... we are this close to ending polio. all we need is you. this close... be a part of history at rotary.org the paris auto show comes at a tough time for european automakers. car companies in europe are bracing for a drop in sales. but that didn't stop the spotlight from shining on the city of lights for one of the nation's largest car shows. high-end auto mobiles from bentley, lamborghini and jaguar were rolled out this week, as auto makers target drivers of luxury automobiles. the show comes at a time when new car registrations in the region have slowed 7%. teams from europe and the u.s. are teeing off for the ryder cup this week. this year's match is happening just outside of chicago. paul eggers reports on how the economy is coming into play on the golf course. a gallery of more than 40,000 golf fanatics from across the u.s. and europe will visit medinah country club each of the next three days for golf's premier team event. and they'll pay big bucks fo
FOX Business
Sep 26, 2012 3:00pm EDT
. this is for that reason. their economy will suffer a double little bit. they need crude-oil. people driving cars over there show the market coming of the way it did. those cracks blew out today. refinery fire in canada turned out to the storage tank. if you look at the cracks between the prices of crude oil versus gasoline that made a tremendous move today and there are other factors. may be a blip in that market but those cracks have been strong going forward so you will see strength in the product versus crude even if the crude comes -- will move out. cheryl: one other issue. talking about the election and november around the corner. do you find people sort of have true conversations about investment decisions at the end of the year? >> absolutely and people will be more concerned about that in october. the first of three presidential debates was the vice-presidential debate. people are disgusted with the lack of movement in washington concerning the fiscal cliff so part of the problem, the apathy in the market is people don't know where to go. very unclear and the light at the end of the tunnel is
FOX Business
Sep 26, 2012 4:00pm EDT
happening in the economy, disease -- does it not? >> i agree. look, there are major headwinds out there. it's hard to be positive about anything. europe's slowing down can, we're printing money like crazy, and when you're dealing with a world where the growth is coming from reducing friction as opposed to sort of increasing thrust, there's just not a lot of foundation there. there's nothing solid that investors or anyone can really stand on to be positive, in my opinion. david: and, stephen, i didn't like what ben bernanke and his buddies at the fed did, but the fact that they did that indicates that what they were seeing -- they have access to all kinds of data we don't have access to -- what they saw was something bordering on recession, otherwise they would not have gone all in as they did with qe3. >> yeah. you know, make no mistake, from the longer-term perspective, i agree. the negative impact of this easy money, you know, will catch up with us, but i think it's still several years down the road and probably comes most likely in the form of inflation. but right now particularly the eq
FOX Business
Oct 2, 2012 4:00pm EDT
: cheryl: and biotech's a leader sector today. america's ceo has spoken and their outlook for the economy pretty dire. not the markets but the economy. what do they want to see and what are their ideas for jump starting america? former michigan governor and president of the business roundtable joining us live. dave: with sales up 95% year to date looks like everyone is thinking small these days. general manager -- that is the smart car. it is a fox business exclusive. cheryl: numbers are huge up 120% for sales year-over-year but first we will tell you what drove the market with the data download. a mixed day with the s&p 500 and the nasdaq eking out gains in the last few minutes of trading. that shows real resilience in the last few minutes. materials and consumer discretionary were the biggest laggers but you saw biotech and utility as the top performers. the euro pull away from the u.s. dollar and down three weeks gaining for the second straight day versus the greenback growing expectations with spain getting closer to seek a bailout from the euro zone boosting currency but the head of
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 12:00pm EDT
world? >>> but first, let's get to our top story. really mixed signals on the economy today. senior economics reporter steve liesman joins us to break it all down. durable goods, orderer were awful, horrendous, jobless claims improved, though. >> you know, i have a theory, michelle. and i think these guys to my left and on the screen over there are waiting for more specific signals from me and the economic data before they figure out -- if you think about the five down days we've had, it's down like 1.9. it's essentially a sideways move. up 46, you said highs of the day. i don't think anybody here is jumping out of the chair. that's because the signals are really mixed. take a look at the data. the gdp with durable goods down 13%. don't get too excited about that. a lot of that was aircraft orders. second quarter gdp down by 14%. midwest manufacturering, claims, though, went down 26,000 and the payroll revisions, that's through march of 2012. up by 386,000. so a little stronger employment in our rearview mirror and current. so the jobs are doing okay, i guess, is the best way to say
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 1:00pm EDT
. >>> consumer spending making up 70% of the u.s. economy, this holiday shopping season a key gauge on whether this sluggish economy can shift into a somewhat higher gear. new numbers out today from the world's largest retail trade association, the nrf, says u.s. retail sales should rise 4.1% this holiday season. pretty merry. don't get too excited. that is actually slower than the growth the past two years. so, why the slow down in the nrf says the biggest things holding consumers back is uncertainty over the economy and whether congress can strike what deal and avoid the so-called fiscal cliff. >>> one major retailer hoping for a merry holiday season is jc penney. ceo ron johnson continues to outline his plans for the struggling chain store. the stock down 30%. johnson speaking on the record and excuse swivel our courtney real been the state of his business. courtney? >> hi, tyler, good afternoon. jc penney ceo ron johnson has just begun speaking. the toirng the rocky road to reinventing retape. spoke with johnson exclusively before he took the stage at the event. now, 700 of the total 1100
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 2:00pm EDT
manufacturing index. and again, the gray areas, those are recessionary periods in the u.s. economy. drop back in 1990, it dropped back in 2000 to 2001, and of course it dropped with the financial crisis an the great recession hit. what i'm worried about, mandy, what we're going to talk about right now is the far right side of that screen. both of these numbers are coming in under 50. and when we hit sub 50 for both these numbers it often portends, how i do say it, not good things. >> that is indeed ugly. in fact, brian, as we can see from those charts, when the numbers come in below 50 it often means we're heading into recession. let's ask dan greenhouse, and with us senior vice-president of the chase mid cap growth fund. dan, i would like to start with you first of all. as we can see, the economic numbers appear to be take a turn for the worst. and yet your not totally convinced that the stock market rally is over. is that a fair play? >> well, it is. it's important to remember that the u.s. stock market is not u.s. gdp. certainly in the short term if not the medium term. i would make a coup
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